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Trang chủ Sự kiện & Cơ hội Tăng cường giá trị chất thải dệt may cho ngành dệt, may mặc và giày dép tại Việt Nam thông qua Kinh tế tuần hoàn
Tăng cường giá trị chất thải dệt may cho ngành dệt, may mặc và giày dép tại Việt Nam thông qua Kinh tế tuần hoàn

(Body text) It seems odd, considering the scale of destruction caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, that seizing Russian money immobilized in Western clearing houses is as hotly debated as it is.
The costs of Ukrainian reconstruction are difficult to agree. $1 trillion is sometimes stated. A more conservative estimate would be around half that – $500 billion.

But before reconstruction can even begin, Ukraine needs to finance its war effort – costing around $50 billion per year – and maintain its day-to-day economy.

In other words, Russian state assets, if repurposed, could cover the costs of five years of war, or three-fifths of the conservatively estimated reconstruction costs. Either way, these assets would only make a modest-sized dent in the catastrophic overall costs created by Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

Seen in these terms, the EU’s proposal to confiscate and repurpose only the $3-5 billion in interest generated by the $300 billion every year, cannot be considered a meaningful amount. It is also hard to understand the legal sophistry behind claiming the $300 billion is sovereign and ‘untouchable’, but interest accrued can be considered fair game. Russia, surely, holds the deeds to both the capital sum and its interest.

(H1) The principle

The most important question is simply: who will pay for the immense destruction caused by Russia’s war? No Russian government will do so willingly, at least in the short to medium term. 

(Caption) Critical design elements and principles that must align with innovation portfolio management (from Brink’s Behavioural Innovation model, in Proud et al. 2023).

But the notion that seizing the assets will create a ‘global economic shock’ is unproven. 
It seems more reasonable to suggest that immobilizing the assets during the first days of the Russian invasion was the more destabilizing move – to say nothing of the unparalleled destabilizing act that was Russia’s attack on Ukraine.

(Quote) Europe should not wish to be an attractive investment destination for ultra-nationalist authoritarian regimes. 

UNDP